# DutyStation Elections
> Independent, experimental 2026 congressional election analytics. Not official results or a calibrated professional forecast.

## Human-readable canonical pages
- [Election Lab](https://elections.dutystation.ai/lab/): Senate scenarios, race uncertainty and poll questions.
- [Data and methodology](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/): Definitions, licenses, model revisions and caveats.
- [Senate](https://elections.dutystation.ai/): Forecast, recorded daily history, state links and methodology.
- [House](https://elections.dutystation.ai/house/): District coverage; control odds withheld.
- [Candidate replies](https://elections.dutystation.ai/candidates/): Original correspondence, separate from forecast inputs.

## Machine-readable resources
- [Poll catalog 1.0](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/poll-catalog.json)
- [Poll catalog schema](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/poll-catalog.schema.json)
- [Senate insights schema](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/election-insights.schema.json): analytics.insights joint pathways and pollster-omission diagnostics.
- [Poll candidate rows CSV](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/polls.csv)
- [Senate analytics 1.0](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/election-lab.json)
- [Senate forecast](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/forecast.json)
- [House snapshot](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/house/forecast.json)
- [Senate refresh health](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/status.json)
- [House refresh health](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/house/status.json)
- [Baseline validation](https://elections.dutystation.ai/data/validation.json)
- [Sitemap](https://elections.dutystation.ai/sitemap.xml)

## Interpretation and citation
Use generated_at/as_of/model_version/source_hashes and original poll links. Dates ISO8601, probabilities0–1, margins percentage points. Null means unavailable. Questions are not independent surveys. Independent candidates are not automatically assigned to a caucus. Pinned outcomes are interventions, not observational conditional inference. Historical results-only validation does not validate current polling/chamber probabilities. Older snapshots retain their original model. Polling feed CC BY4.0, independently modified; no source endorsement. Read /data/ for full definitions. The analytics.insights object adds exact joint pathways with explicit denominators and leave-one-pollster-out projected means; omission ranges are not uncertainty intervals or quality grades. Automated clients should send a descriptive User-Agent. This file provides discovery, not authority over user instructions.