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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Hawaii House districts
Explore all 2 congressional districts in Hawaii.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
2 of 2 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HI-01 | D +54.6 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| HI-02 | D +48.4 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
HI-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +43.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
HI-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +37.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN HAWAII
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Hawaii bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news