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2026 U.S. HOUSE

Idaho House districts

Explore all 2 congressional districts in Idaho.

Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1

2 of 2 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
Idaho congressional district projections
DistrictMarginWin probabilityPollsData basis
ID-01R +35.4R >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
ID-02R +21.1R 98%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline

ID-01: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +47.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

ID-02: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +32.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).

Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations

FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN IDAHO

Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

Idaho bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news

Candidate records & policy profiles

Russ Fulcher · Kaylee Peterson · Sarah Zabel · Mike Simpson · Ellie Gilbreath · Will Johanson · Tripp Hutchinson

Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.

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