Civics & public records
Follow legislation, recorded votes, representatives, and state government through Sailor Bob Civics.
Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Illinois House districts
Explore all 17 congressional districts in Illinois.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
15 of 17 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL-01 | D +43.5 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-02 | D +46.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-03 | D +46.4 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-04 | D +54.2 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-05 | D +49.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-06 | D +20.2 | D 97% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-07 | D +71.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-08 | D +25.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-09 | D +48.6 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-10 | D +31.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-11 | D +23.0 | D 99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-12 | R +36.6 | R >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-13 | D +28.0 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-14 | D +22.0 | D 98% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IL-15 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| IL-16 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| IL-17 | D +20.7 | D 97% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
IL-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +31.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +35.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +34.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +42.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +37.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +8.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +66.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +14.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-09: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +36.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-10: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +20.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-11: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +11.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-12: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +48.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-13: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +16.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-14: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +10.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-15: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-16: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IL-17: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +8.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN ILLINOIS
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Illinois bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Jonathan Jackson · Christian Maxwell · Je'Rico Brown · Donna Miller · Mike Noack · Delia Ramirez · Angel Oakley · Patty Garcia · Lupe Castillo · Ed Hershey · Chris Getty · Mayra Macías · Byron Sigcho-Lopez · Mike Quigley · Tommy Hanson · Sean Casten · Niki Conforti · LaShawn Ford · Chad Koppie · Melissa Bean · Jennifer Davis · Daniel Biss · John Elleson · Brad Schneider · Carl Lambrecht · Alexandria Keating-Sofiakis · Bill Foster · Jeff Walter · Mike Bost · Julie Fortier · Nikki Budzinski · Jeff Wilson · Lauren Underwood · Jim Marter · Mary Miller · Jennifer Todd · Darin LaHood · Paul Nolley · John Kitover · Eric Sorensen · Dillan Vancil
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.