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2026 U.S. HOUSE

Indiana House districts

Explore all 9 congressional districts in Indiana.

Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1

9 of 9 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
Indiana congressional district projections
DistrictMarginWin probabilityPollsData basis
IN-01D +20.4D 97%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-02R +17.1R 95%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-03R +23.1R 99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-04R +23.6R 99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-05R +6.7R 79%1Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-06R +21.9R 98%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-07D +52.3D >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-08R +27.7R >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
IN-09R +20.7R 97%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline

IN-01: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +8.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-02: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +28.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-03: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +34.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-04: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +35.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-05: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +19.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

Latest observed polling matchup: J.D. Ford / Victoria Spartz. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Quantus Insights ↗2026-10-22634lvR +3.0

IN-06: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +33.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-07: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +40.5. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-08: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +39.5. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

IN-09: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +32.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).

Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations

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Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

Indiana bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news

Candidate records & policy profiles

Frank Mrvan Jr. · Barb Regnitz · Alex Degman · James Johnson Jr · Rudy Yakym · Jamee Decio · William Henry · Marlin Stutzman · Kelly Thompson · Phil Beachy · Jim Baird · Drew Cox · David Bokash · Victoria Spartz · JD Ford · Jefferson Shreve · Cinde Wirth · Andre Carson · Patrick McAuley · James Sceniak · Mark Messmer · Mary Allen · Erin Houchin · Brad Meyer · Tonya Hudson · Floyd Taylor

Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.

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