Civics & public records
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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Iowa House districts
Explore all 4 congressional districts in Iowa.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
4 of 4 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IA-01 | D +11.6 | D 86% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IA-02 | R +2.9 | R 62% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IA-03 | D +8.0 | D 77% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| IA-04 | R +22.6 | R 98% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
IA-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +0.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IA-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +15.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Lindsay James / Joe Mitchell. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-10-14 | 344 | lv | D +3.1 |
IA-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +3.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
IA-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +34.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN IOWA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Iowa bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Mariannette Miller-Meeks · Christina Bohannan · Michael Bridgford · Joe Mitchell · Lindsay James · Rick Stewart · Dave Bushaw · Zach Nunn · Sarah Trone Garriott · Chris McGowan · Dave Dawson
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.