Civics & public records
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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Kansas House districts
Explore all 4 congressional districts in Kansas.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
4 of 4 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS-01 | R +26.5 | R >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| KS-02 | R +7.4 | R 78% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| KS-03 | D +23.0 | D 99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| KS-04 | R +18.3 | R 96% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
KS-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +38.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
KS-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +19.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Don Coover / Derek Schmidt. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-10-20 | 639 | lv | R +3.2 |
KS-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +11.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
KS-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +30.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN KANSAS
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Kansas bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Tracey Mann · Lauren Reinhold · Steve Jacob · Derek Schmidt · Don Coover · John Hauer · Sharice Davids · Eric Jenkins · Steve Hohe · Ron Estes · Katy Tyndell · Drew Cranmer
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.