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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Maryland House districts
Explore all 8 congressional districts in Maryland.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
8 of 8 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD-01 | R +10.9 | R 85% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-02 | D +30.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-03 | D +33.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-04 | D +71.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-05 | D +47.6 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-06 | D +18.2 | D 96% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-07 | D +71.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MD-08 | D +69.7 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
MD-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +22.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +19.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +22.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +77.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +35.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +6.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +64.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MD-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +57.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN MARYLAND
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Maryland bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Andy Harris · Dan Schwartz · Edward Shlikas · Johnny Olszewski · Dave Wallace · Sarah Elfreth · Berney Flowers · Glenn Ivey · George McDermott · Sam Husseini · Adrian Boafo · Chris Chaffee · Mildred Marie Hall · April McClain Delaney · Robin Ficker · Moshe Landman · Kweisi Mfume · Scott Collier · Jamie Raskin · Cheryl Riley · Nancy Wallace
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.