Civics & public records
Follow legislation, recorded votes, representatives, and state government through Sailor Bob Civics.
Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Minnesota House districts
Explore all 8 congressional districts in Minnesota.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
8 of 8 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MN-01 | R +3.8 | R 67% | 2 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-02 | D +25.1 | D >99% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-03 | D +28.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-04 | D +46.5 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-05 | D +62.2 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-06 | R +13.2 | R 89% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-07 | R +29.2 | R >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MN-08 | R +4.6 | R 69% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
MN-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +17.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Jake Johnson / Brad Finstad. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA ↗ | 2026-10-12 | 565 | lv | D +2.2 |
| GBAO ↗ | 2026-09-21 | 500 | lv | D +1.1 |
MN-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +13.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Matt Little / Eric Pratt. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 500 | lv | D +13.0 |
MN-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +17.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MN-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +34.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MN-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +50.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MN-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +25.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MN-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +41.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
MN-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +16.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Trina Swanson / Pete Stauber. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-10-26 | 585 | rv | R +6.5 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN MINNESOTA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Minnesota bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Brad Finstad · Jake Johnson · Matt Little · Eric Pratt · Kelly Morrison · Tyler Bass · Betty McCollum · Paul Wikstrom · Ilhan Omar · John Nagel · DeVelle Jackson · Tom Emmer · Doug Chapin · Michelle Fischbach · Erik Osberg · Pete Stauber · Trina Swanson
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.