Civics & public records
Follow legislation, recorded votes, representatives, and state government through Sailor Bob Civics.
Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Nebraska House districts
Explore all 3 congressional districts in Nebraska.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
3 of 3 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE-01 | R +8.4 | R 81% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| NE-02 | D +8.4 | D 82% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| NE-03 | R +49.1 | R >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
NE-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +20.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Chris Backemeyer / Mike Flood. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group ↗ | 2026-09-03 | 600 | lv | D +1.2 |
NE-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +1.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Denise Powell / Brinker Harding. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 182 | lv | D +4.5 |
NE-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +60.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN NEBRASKA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Nebraska bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news