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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Nevada House districts
Explore all 4 congressional districts in Nevada.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
3 of 4 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NV-01 | D +18.6 | D 96% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| NV-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 3 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| NV-03 | D +13.6 | D 90% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| NV-04 | D +19.2 | D 96% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
NV-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +7.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
NV-02: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Teresa Benitez-Thompson / David Flippo. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO ↗ | 2026-09-03 | 500 | lv | D +1.3 |
| Strategies 360 ↗ | 2026-08-26 | 400 | lv | R +3.4 |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | 2026-07-12 | 350 | lv | D +2.1 |
NV-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +2.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
NV-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +8.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN NEVADA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Nevada bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news