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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Ohio House districts
Explore all 15 congressional districts in Ohio.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
0 of 15 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH-01 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 3 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-03 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-05 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-06 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-07 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-08 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-10 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-11 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-12 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-13 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-14 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| OH-15 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
OH-01: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Greg Landsman / Eric Conroy. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-10-21 | 561 | lv | D +4.0 |
| Torchlight Strategies ↗ | 2026-10-02 | 400 | lv | D +0.0 |
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-08-24 | 509 | lv | D +3.6 |
OH-02: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-03: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-04: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-05: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-06: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-07: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Brian Poindexter / Max Miller. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedrock Polling ↗ | 2026-08-10 | 866 | lv | D +10.3 |
OH-08: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-09: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Marcy Kaptur / Derek Merrin. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 481 | lv | D +0.0 |
OH-10: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Kristina Knickerbocker / Mike Turner. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-10-13 | 535 | lv | D +3.3 |
OH-11: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-12: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-13: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-14: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
OH-15: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Don Leonard / Mike Carey. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | 2026-09-24 | 500 | lv | D +1.1 |
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | 2026-08-09 | 401 | lv | R +5.1 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
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Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Ohio bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Greg Landsman · Eric Conroy · Nathan Weise · Dave Taylor · Jen Mazzuckelli · Joyce Beatty · Cleophus Dulaney · Jason Fistick · Santana Jade Dials · Jim Jordan · Josh Kolasinski · Tracey Tackett · Bob Latta · Brian Shaver · Michael Veloff · Dalton Franklin · Michael Rulli · Elizabeth Kirtley · Adrian Vitus · Max Miller · Brian Poindexter · Brian DuVall-Gambino · Andrey Martinichin · Warren Davidson · Vanessa Enoch · Marcy Kaptur · Derek Merrin · Matthew Althaus · Kathy McKinstry · Mike Turner · Kristina Knickerbocker · Tom McMasters · Shontel Brown · Mike Kirchner · Cortney Peterson · Troy Balderson · Jerrad Christian · Emilia Sykes · Carey Coleman · Sandeep Dixit · Dave Joyce · Maria Jukic · Mike Carey · Don Leonard · Brennan Barrington
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.