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2026 U.S. HOUSE

Oregon House districts

Explore all 6 congressional districts in Oregon.

Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0

6 of 6 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
Oregon congressional district projections
DistrictMarginWin probabilityPollsData basis
OR-01D +52.8D >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
OR-02R +21.3R 98%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
OR-03D +56.6D >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
OR-04D +19.0D 96%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
OR-05D +13.8D 90%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
OR-06D +17.7D 95%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline

OR-01: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +41.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

OR-02: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +32.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

OR-03: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +45.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

OR-04: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +8.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

OR-05: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +2.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

OR-06: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +6.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).

Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations

FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN OREGON

Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

Oregon bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news