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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Rhode Island House districts
Explore all 2 congressional districts in Rhode Island.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
2 of 2 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RI-01 | D +43.2 | D >99% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| RI-02 | D +26.9 | D >99% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
RI-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +32.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Gabe Amo / Kellie Keenan. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-10-11 | 394 | lv | D +35.2 |
RI-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +16.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Seth M. Magaziner / Victor Mellor. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-10-11 | 406 | lv | D +17.0 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN RHODE ISLAND
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Rhode Island bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Gabe Amo · Kellie Keenan · Pedro DeSouza · Seth Magaziner · Vic Mellor · Armando Anzoli
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.