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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
South Carolina House districts
Explore all 7 congressional districts in South Carolina.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
7 of 7 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC-01 | R +5.3 | R 71% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-02 | R +8.5 | R 79% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-03 | R +36.9 | R >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-04 | R +12.3 | R 88% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-05 | R +16.3 | R 94% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-06 | D +34.5 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| SC-07 | R +18.7 | R 96% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
SC-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +16.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Nancy Lacore / Jenny Costa Honeycutt. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-09-10 | 536 | rv | R +1.2 |
SC-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +19.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
SC-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +47.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
SC-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +23.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
SC-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +27.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
SC-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +23.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
SC-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +30.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: John Vincent / Russell Fry. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling ↗ | 2026-07-28 | 557 | lv | R +5.7 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN SOUTH CAROLINA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
South Carolina bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news