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2026 U.S. HOUSE

South Carolina House districts

Explore all 7 congressional districts in South Carolina.

Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1

7 of 7 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
South Carolina congressional district projections
DistrictMarginWin probabilityPollsData basis
SC-01R +4.2R 70%3Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-02R +7.5R 76%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-03R +36.0R >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-04R +11.4R 86%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-05R +15.4R 93%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-06D +35.5D >99%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline
SC-07R +18.1R 96%0Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline

SC-01: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +16.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

Latest observed polling matchup: Nancy Lacore / Jenny Costa Honeycutt. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Public Policy Polling ↗2026-10-22770lvD +2.2
co/efficient ↗2026-10-01837lvR +7.0
Public Policy Polling ↗2026-09-10536rvR +1.2

SC-02: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +19.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

SC-03: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +47.8. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

SC-04: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +23.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

SC-05: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +27.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

SC-06: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: D +23.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

SC-07: district evidence

Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

2024 two-party result: R +30.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.

No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.

Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).

Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations

FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN SOUTH CAROLINA

Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

South Carolina bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news

Candidate records & policy profiles

Jenny Honeycutt · Nancy Lacore · Bill Reeside · Joe Wilson · Zyon Khalifa · Dayna Smith · Sheri Biggs · Eunice Lehmacher · Brian Corriea · Courtney McClain · Jessica Ethridge · Wes Climer · Mallory Dittmer · Jim Clyburn · John Peterson · Russell Fry · John Vincent · Carter Gibson-Grossmann

Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.

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