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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Tennessee House districts
Explore all 9 congressional districts in Tennessee.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
0 of 9 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TN-01 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-03 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-05 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-06 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-07 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-08 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TN-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
TN-01: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-02: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-03: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-04: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-05: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Chaz Molder / Charlie Hatcher. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-10-01 | 552 | lv | R +5.7 |
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-08-24 | 500 | lv | R +9.1 |
TN-06: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-07: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-08: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TN-09: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Justin Pearson / Brent Taylor. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | 2026-09-03 | 400 | lv | R +4.3 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN TENNESSEE
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Tennessee bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Diana Harshbarger · Kristi Burke · Joshua Ashburn · Richard Baker · Chris Campbell · Billy Cody · Tyler McClain · Tim Burchett · Michaela Barnett · Bruce Fine · Adam Heimerman · Chuck Fleischmann · Anna Golladay · Dean Arnold · Jean Howard-Hill · Rodney Joe King · Donnie Ownby · Edward Roland · Scott DesJarlais · Victoria Broderick · Jacob Anders · Clay Faircloth · Charlie Hatcher · Chaz Molder · James Johnson · Micheal O'Leary · Johnny Garrett · Mike Croley · Christopher Monday · Angus Purdy · Matt Van Epps · Darden Copeland · Andrew Koontz · Lowell Reynolds · Jon Thorp · David Kustoff · Heidi Kuhn · Adam Austill · Wendell "Wells" Blankenship · Antonio Futch · George Herold · Pamela Moses · Horace Taylor · Henry Ward III · Justin Pearson · Brent Taylor · Dennis Clark · Michelle Head
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.