Civics & public records
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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Texas House districts
Explore all 38 congressional districts in Texas.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
0 of 38 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TX-01 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-03 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-05 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-06 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-07 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-08 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 3 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-10 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-11 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-12 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-13 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-14 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-15 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-16 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-17 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-18 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-19 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-20 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-21 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-22 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-23 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-24 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-25 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-26 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-27 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-28 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-29 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-30 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-31 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-32 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-33 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-34 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-35 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-36 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-37 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| TX-38 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
TX-01: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-02: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Shaun Finnie / Steve Toth. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-10-04 | 501 | lv | R +10.8 |
TX-03: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-04: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-05: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-06: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-07: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-08: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-09: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Leticia Gutierrez / Alex Mealer. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-10-22 | 490 | lv | R +1.1 |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs ↗ | 2026-10-07 | 677 | lv | R +6.7 |
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-09-19 | 560 | rv | R +7.1 |
TX-10: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Caitlin Rourk / Chris Gober. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research ↗ | 2026-09-22 | 613 | lv | R +7.9 |
TX-11: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-12: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-13: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-14: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-15: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Bobby Pulido / Monica De La Cruz. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington, Petts & Associates ↗ | 2026-09-28 | 400 | lv | D +13.7 |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center ↗ | 2026-08-22 | 700 | lv | D +5.3 |
TX-16: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-17: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-18: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-19: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-20: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-21: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-22: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-23: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-24: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-25: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-26: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-27: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-28: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Henry Cuellar / Tano Tijerina. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-10-13 | 536 | lv | D +22.7 |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center ↗ | 2026-08-22 | 600 | lv | D +13.9 |
TX-29: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-30: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-31: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-32: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-33: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-34: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Vicente Gonzalez / Eric Flores. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government ↗ | 2026-10-19 | 626 | lv | D +7.5 |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center ↗ | 2026-08-22 | 700 | lv | D +3.4 |
TX-35: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Johnny Garcia / Carlos De La Cruz. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government ↗ | 2026-10-19 | 605 | lv | R +1.1 |
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-10-14 | 417 | lv | D +2.0 |
TX-36: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-37: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
TX-38: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN TEXAS
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Texas bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Nathaniel Moran · Yolanda Prince · Steve Toth · Shaun Finnie · Keith Self · Evan Hunt · Pat Fallon · Jason Pearce · Lance Gooden · Chelsey Hockett · Travis Edwards · Jake Ellzey · Danny Minton · Lizzie Fletcher · Alexander Hale · Espoir Ngabo · Jessica Steinmann · Laura Jones · Letty Gutierrez · Alex Mealer · Chris Gober · Caitlin Rourk · August Pfluger · Claire Reynolds · Craig Goldman · Angela “Heli” Rodriguez Prilliman · Ronny Jackson · Mark Nair · Randy Weber · Thurman Bill Bartie · Monica de la Cruz · Bobby Pulido · Veronica Escobar · Adam Bauman · Pete Sessions · Casey Shepard · Christian Menefee · Ronald Dwayne Whitfield · Tom Sell · Kyle Rable · Joaquin Castro · Edgardo Baez · Mark Teixeira · Kristin Hook · Trever Nehls · Marquette Greene-Scott · Brandon Herrera · Katy Padilla Stout · Ben Mendoza · Beth Van Duyne · Kevin Burge · Roger Williams · Dione Sims · Brandon Gill · Steven Shook · Phil Gray · Michael Cloud · Tanya Lloyd · Wayne Raasch · Henry Cuellar · Tano Tijerina · Marlon Duran · Sylvia Garcia · Martha Fierro · Frederick Haynes · Everett Jackson · John Carter · Justin Earley · Greg Stoker · Dan Barrios · Jace Yarborough · Colin Allred · Patrick Gillespie · Michelle Craig · Vicente Gonzalez · Eric Flores · Eddie Espinoza · Chris Royal · Johnny Garcia · Carlos De La Cruz · Brian Babin · Rhonda Hart · Greg Casar · Lauren Peña · Jon Bonck · Melissa McDonough · Alex McMenemy
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.