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2026 U.S. HOUSE

Utah House districts

Explore all 4 congressional districts in Utah.

Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1

0 of 4 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
Utah congressional district projections
DistrictMarginWin probabilityPollsData basis
UT-01Not modeledUnavailable1Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline
UT-02Not modeledUnavailable1Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline
UT-03Not modeledUnavailable1Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline
UT-04Not modeledUnavailable1Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline

UT-01: district evidence

Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

Latest observed polling matchup: Ben McAdams / Riley Owen. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Lighthouse Research ↗2026-09-10515rvD +49.5

UT-02: district evidence

Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

Latest observed polling matchup: Peter Crosby / Blake Moore. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Lighthouse Research ↗2026-09-24515rvR +6.8

UT-03: district evidence

Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

Latest observed polling matchup: Kent Udell / Celeste Maloy. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Lighthouse Research ↗2026-09-15508rvR +25.5

UT-04: district evidence

Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.

Latest observed polling matchup: Jonny Larsen / Mike Kennedy. This is not an official nominee roster.

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin (normalized)
Lighthouse Research ↗2026-09-17513rvR +11.8

Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).

Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations

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Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

Utah bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news

Candidate records & policy profiles

Ben McAdams · Riley Owen · Jesse West · Elias Montgomery · Blake Moore · Peter Crosby · Carlton Bowen · Daniel Cottam · Robert Moesinger · Celeste Maloy · Kent Udell · Cassie Easley · Mike Stoddard · Adonis Hooslyn · Mike Kennedy · Jonny Larsen · Taylor Wright · Steven Burt

Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.

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