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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Washington House districts
Explore all 10 congressional districts in Washington.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
8 of 10 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WA-01 | D +37.2 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-02 | D +38.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-03 | D +14.5 | D 92% | 1 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| WA-05 | R +10.4 | R 84% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-06 | D +24.5 | D 99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-07 | D +70.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-08 | D +19.0 | D 96% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| WA-10 | D +28.2 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
WA-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +26.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +28.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +3.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez / John Braun. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-07-10 | 500 | lv | R +1.2 |
WA-04: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +21.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +13.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +68.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +8.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-09: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-10: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +17.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
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Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Washington bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news