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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Washington House districts
Explore all 10 congressional districts in Washington.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
8 of 10 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WA-01 | D +38.1 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-02 | D +39.9 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-03 | D +12.5 | D 93% | 2 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| WA-05 | R +9.5 | R 81% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-06 | D +25.4 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-07 | D +71.8 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-08 | D +20.0 | D 97% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WA-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | No two-party 2024 contest |
| WA-10 | D +29.2 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
WA-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +26.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +28.1. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +3.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez / John Braun. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research ↗ | 2026-10-21 | 551 | lv | D +1.1 |
| DHM Research ↗ | 2026-09-27 | 543 | lv | R +1.1 |
WA-04: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +21.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +13.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +68.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +8.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-09: district evidence
No two-party 2024 contest. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WA-10: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +17.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN WASHINGTON
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Washington bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Suzan DelBene · Mary Silva · Rick Larsen · Edwin Feller · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez · John Braun · John Duresky · Amanda McKinney · Michael Baumgartner · Carmela Conroy · Emily Randall · Teresa Fox · Pramila Jayapal · Nirav Sheth · Kim Schrier · Spencer Meline · Adam Smith · Doug Basler · Marilyn Strickland · Chris Chung
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.