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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Wisconsin House districts
Explore all 8 congressional districts in Wisconsin.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
8 of 8 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 | D +1.3 | D 55% | 3 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-02 | D +52.1 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-03 | D +9.1 | D 80% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-04 | D +65.7 | D >99% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-05 | R +17.1 | R 95% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-06 | R +10.8 | R 85% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-07 | R +15.4 | R 93% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| WI-08 | R +2.8 | R 61% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
WI-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +10.4. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Mitchell Berman / Bryan Steil. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-10-01 | 500 | lv | D +1.1 |
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 495 | lv | D +0.0 |
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-08-09 | 400 | lv | R +1.0 |
WI-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +40.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-03: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +2.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-04: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +53.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-05: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +28.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-06: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +22.6. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-07: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +27.2. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
WI-08: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +14.7. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN WISCONSIN
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Wisconsin bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Bryan Steil · Mitchell Berman · Mark Pocan · Derrick Van Orden · Rebecca Cooke · Alexander Kent · Rustin Provance · Gwen Moore · Tim Rogers · Arthur Burks · Robert Raymond · Scott Fitzgerald · Andy Beck · Glenn Grothman · Amanda Bell · Brad Smith · Matthew Arndt · Elizabeth Fitzgibbon · Mike Thurow · Michael Alfonso · Fred Clark · Tony Wied · Rick Crosson
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.