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2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION

Alabama Senate forecast

2026 polling and experimental race projection.

Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.2.0

Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.

Race at a glance

>99%R win probability
R +15.7Projected margin
4Qualifying polls

Everett Wess (D) / Barry Moore (R).

80% margin interval: -22.0 to -9.4 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2022.

Alabama Senate polls

Qualifying polls in this snapshot
Pollster / sourceEnd dateSamplePopulationTwo-party margin
Blueprint Polling ↗2026-10-24695lvR +8.3
Cygnal Political ↗2026-10-17500lvR +14.8
The Alabama Poll ↗2026-10-16600lvR +21.0
RMG Research ↗2026-09-25800rvR +21.0

Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every hour; failed updates retain this snapshot.

Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast

FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN ALABAMA

Beyond this election

Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.

Alabama bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news

Candidate records & policy profiles

Barry Moore · Everett Wess

Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.

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