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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Georgia Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.1.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
95%D win probability
D +7.6Projected margin
8Qualifying polls
Jon Ossoff (D) / Mike Collins (R).
80% margin interval: 1.6 to 13.6 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2022.
Georgia Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 1200 | lv | D +8.0 |
| Big Data Poll ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 678 | lv | D +10.8 |
| YouGov ↗ | 2026-09-18 | 3301 | lv | D +10.0 |
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-09-16 | 645 | lv | D +4.1 |
| Trafalgar Group ↗ | 2026-09-12 | 1091 | lv | D +6.6 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-08-17 | 800 | lv | D +7.5 |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research ↗ | 2026-07-16 | 1060 | lv | D +9.0 |
| Wick ↗ | 2026-06-30 | 1175 | lv | D +3.8 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every four hours; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
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Beyond this election
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