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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Georgia Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.2.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
97%D win probability
D +8.3Projected margin
13Qualifying polls
Jon Ossoff (D) / Mike Collins (R).
80% margin interval: 2.4 to 14.1 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2022.
Georgia Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. ↗ | 2026-11-02 | 450 | lv | D +10.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-11-02 | 2500 | lv | D +6.7 |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | 2026-10-23 | 508 | lv | D +15.0 |
| ActiVote ↗ | 2026-10-20 | 400 | lv | D +8.0 |
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-10-17 | 755 | lv | D +7.3 |
| University of Georgia ↗ | 2026-10-15 | 1000 | lv | D +8.0 |
| Trafalgar Group ↗ | 2026-10-09 | 1101 | lv | D +8.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 1200 | lv | D +8.0 |
| Big Data Poll ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 678 | lv | D +10.8 |
| YouGov ↗ | 2026-09-18 | 3301 | lv | D +10.0 |
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-09-16 | 645 | lv | D +4.1 |
| Trafalgar Group ↗ | 2026-09-12 | 1091 | lv | D +6.6 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-08-17 | 800 | lv | D +7.5 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every hour; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN GEORGIA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Georgia bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Jon Ossoff · Mike Collins · Al Bartell · Sam Manuel
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.