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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Louisiana Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.2.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
71%R win probability
R +3.2Projected margin
2Qualifying polls
Jamie Davis (D) / Julia Letlow (R).
80% margin interval: -10.5 to 4.1 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2022.
Louisiana Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | 2026-10-29 | 502 | lv | D +0.0 |
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | 2026-09-19 | 500 | lv | R +4.0 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every hour; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
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Beyond this election
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Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.