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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Mississippi Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.2.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
83%R win probability
R +5.2Projected margin
2Qualifying polls
Scott Colom (D) / Cindy Hyde-Smith (R).
80% margin interval: -12.4 to 1.9 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2024.
Mississippi Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research ↗ | 2026-10-22 | 842 | lv | R +3.0 |
| Data for Progress ↗ | 2026-08-15 | 1018 | lv | R +6.0 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every hour; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN MISSISSIPPI
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Mississippi bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Cindy Hyde-Smith · Scott Colom · Ty Pinkins
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.