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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Nebraska Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.1.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
65%R win probability
R +1.8Projected margin
4Qualifying polls
Dan Osborn (D) / Pete Ricketts (R).
80% margin interval: -8.2 to 4.5 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2020.
Nebraska Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | 2026-09-16 | 500 | lv | R +4.0 |
| SurveyUSA ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 503 | lv | D +4.0 |
| GBAO ↗ | 2026-09-08 | 800 | lv | D +1.0 |
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 600 | lv | D +0.0 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every four hours; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
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Beyond this election
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