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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Nebraska Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.2.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
60%R win probability
R +1.8Projected margin
15Qualifying polls
Dan Osborn (I) / Pete Ricketts (R).
80% margin interval: -10.7 to 7.2 points. Positive values favor the I candidate. Prior result year: 2020.
Nebraska Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse ↗ | 2026-11-01 | 534 | lv | R +4.0 |
| National Public Affairs ↗ | 2026-10-29 | 800 | lv | R +1.0 |
| YouGov ↗ | 2026-10-29 | 1974 | lv | I +0.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | 2026-10-29 | 809 | lv | R +5.7 |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | 2026-10-23 | 407 | lv | R +1.0 |
| GBAO ↗ | 2026-10-22 | 800 | lv | I +1.0 |
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-10-20 | 600 | lv | R +2.0 |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners ↗ | 2026-10-18 | 500 | lv | I +7.0 |
| National Public Affairs ↗ | 2026-10-18 | 598 | lv | R +3.0 |
| National Public Affairs ↗ | 2026-10-05 | 800 | lv | R +3.0 |
| YouGov ↗ | 2026-10-03 | 1808 | lv | I +1.0 |
| co/efficient ↗ | 2026-09-30 | 1113 | lv | R +4.0 |
| SurveyUSA ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 503 | lv | I +4.0 |
| GBAO ↗ | 2026-09-08 | 800 | lv | I +1.0 |
| Impact Research ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 600 | lv | I +0.0 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every hour; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
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