Civics & public records
Follow legislation, recorded votes, representatives, and state government through Sailor Bob Civics.
Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · SPECIAL ELECTION
Ohio Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.1.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
71%D win probability
D +2.6Projected margin
9Qualifying polls
Sherrod Brown (D) / Jon Husted (R).
80% margin interval: -3.3 to 8.6 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2024.
Ohio Senate polls
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights ↗ | 2026-09-23 | 695 | lv | D +0.4 |
| Trafalgar Group ↗ | 2026-09-16 | 1085 | lv | D +3.9 |
| YouGov ↗ | 2026-09-10 | 1000 | lv | D +3.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | 2026-09-09 | 1200 | lv | D +5.4 |
| Abacus Data ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 306 | lv | D +5.0 |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 800 | lv | D +4.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research ↗ | 2026-08-10 | 1008 | rv | D +8.0 |
| Tulchin Research ↗ | 2026-08-04 | 600 | lv | D +4.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | 2026-06-28 | 601 | lv | R +2.8 |
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every four hours; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN OHIO
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Ohio bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news