Civics & public records
Follow legislation, recorded votes, representatives, and state government through Sailor Bob Civics.
Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. SENATE · GENERAL ELECTION
Oregon Senate forecast
2026 polling and experimental race projection.
Snapshot: · Model baseline-1.1.0
Experimental probabilities are not a validated guarantee. Candidate names reflect selected polling matchups, not an official ballot roster.
Race at a glance
82%D win probability
D +15.2Projected margin
0Qualifying polls
Democratic candidate (D) / Republican candidate (R).
80% margin interval: -6.3 to 36.7 points. Positive values favor the D candidate. Prior result year: 2022.
Oregon Senate polls
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Polling source: The New York Times, CC BY 4.0, independently filtered and aggregated by DutyStation. Historical results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab. Polling updates every four hours; failed updates retain this snapshot.
Read the full Senate methodology and validation limits ↗ · Download source-linked forecast
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN OREGON
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Oregon bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news