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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Florida House districts
Explore all 28 congressional districts in Florida.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.1
0 of 28 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL-01 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-03 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-05 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-06 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-07 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-08 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-10 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-11 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-12 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-13 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-14 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-15 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-16 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-17 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-18 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-19 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-20 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-21 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-22 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-23 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-24 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-25 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 3 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-26 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-27 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-28 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
FL-01: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-02: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-03: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-04: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-05: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-06: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-07: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Generic Democrat / Generic Republican. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting Team ↗ | 2026-10-19 | 414 | lv | R +3.3 |
FL-08: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-09: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Darren Soto / Dan Green. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Polling ↗ | 2026-08-30 | 400 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-10: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-11: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-12: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-13: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Leela Gray / Anna Paulina Luna. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates ↗ | 2026-08-06 | 400 | lv | R +8.9 |
| GQR ↗ | 2026-08-06 | 500 | lv | R +3.3 |
FL-14: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Kathy Castor / Mike Beltran. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | 2026-10-14 | 315 | lv | D +5.5 |
FL-15: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-16: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Kelly Kirschner / Sydney Gruters. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-10-02 | 530 | rv | R +4.9 |
| SEA Polling ↗ | 2026-08-29 | 400 | lv | D +1.3 |
FL-17: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-18: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-19: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-20: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-21: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: James Martin / Brian Mast. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upswing Research ↗ | 2026-09-25 | 402 | lv | R +12.6 |
FL-22: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Pia Dandiya / Casey Askar. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research ↗ | 2026-08-12 | 551 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-23: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-24: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-25: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Jared Moskowitz / Scott Singer. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-10-27 | 523 | lv | D +6.8 |
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-10-22 | 592 | lv | D +5.6 |
| National Research ↗ | 2026-10-15 | 400 | lv | R +7.7 |
FL-26: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-27: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Eliott Rodriguez / María Elvira Salazar. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 600 | lv | R +1.1 |
| Bendixen & Amandi International ↗ | 2026-08-30 | 600 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-28: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN FLORIDA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Florida bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news
Candidate records & policy profiles
Jimmy Patronis · Gay Valimont · Tyler Davis · Austin Rogers · Amanda Marie Green · Kat Cammack · Seth Harp · Mike Klein · Aaron Bean · LaShonda "LJ" Holloway · Mike Sell · Todd Schaefer · John Rutherford · Rachel Grage · William Upham · Randy Fine · Eric Yonce · Andrew Parrott · Alec Pavlik · Ryan Elijah · Bale Dalton · Christopher Dennison · Mike Haridopolos · Jennifer Jenkins · Darren Soto · Dan Green · Maxwell Frost · Joe Strada · James Pericola · Ralph Groves · Gus Bilirakis · Kimberly Overman · Branden Scrivener · Anna Paulina Luna · Leela Gray · Tony D'Arrigo · Kathy Castor · Mike Beltran · Brian Lambert · Salomon Hernandez · Keith Varian · Laurel Lee · Robert People · Angie Boone · Sydney Gruters · Kelly Kirschner · Mark Davis · Greg Steube · Matthew Montavon · Michael Quirk · Scott Franklin · Curtis Gibson · Deva Simmons · Jim Schwartzel · Victor Arias · Seth Haskin · Alexandra Zakhvatayev · Debbie Wasserman Schultz · Brent Andersen · Kedner Maxime · Brian Mast · James Martin · Alex Cooke · David Fabrikant · Pia Dandiya · Casey Askar · Lois Frankel · Deb Adeimy · Oliver Gilbert · Te Brown · Andy Daro · Patricia Gonzalez · Jared Moskowitz · Scott Singer · Peter Jassenoff · Michaelangelo Hamilton · Mario Diaz-Balart · Nicole Locklin · Deborah Meidinger Hosey · Maria Elvira Salazar · Eliott Rodriguez · Carlos Gimenez · Phil Ehr · Eddy Rojas
Selected coverage; see each profile’s review scope and sources.