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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Florida House districts
Explore all 28 congressional districts in Florida.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
0 of 28 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL-01 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-02 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-03 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-04 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-05 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-06 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-07 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-08 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-09 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-10 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-11 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-12 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-13 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-14 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-15 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-16 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-17 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-18 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-19 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-20 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-21 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-22 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 1 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-23 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-24 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-25 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-26 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-27 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 2 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
| FL-28 | Not modeled | Unavailable | 0 | Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline |
FL-01: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-02: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Nicholas Zateslo / Keith Gross. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriot Polling ↗ | 2026-07-26 | 922 | lv | R +19.9 |
FL-03: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-04: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-05: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-06: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-07: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-08: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Jennifer Jenkins / Mike Haridopolos. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-07-18 | 633 | rv | R +11.4 |
FL-09: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Darren Soto / Dan Green. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Polling ↗ | 2026-08-30 | 400 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-10: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-11: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: James Pericola / Joe Strada. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDW Communications ↗ | 2026-07-30 | 1044 | lv | R +0.4 |
FL-12: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-13: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Leela Gray / Anna Paulina Luna. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates ↗ | 2026-08-06 | 400 | lv | R +8.9 |
| GQR ↗ | 2026-08-06 | 500 | lv | R +3.3 |
FL-14: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Kathy Castor / Mike Beltran. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls ↗ | 2026-07-15 | 469 | lv | D +10.4 |
FL-15: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-16: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Kelly Kirschner / Sydney Gruters. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Polling ↗ | 2026-08-29 | 400 | lv | D +1.3 |
FL-17: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-18: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-19: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-20: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-21: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-22: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Pia Dandiya / Casey Askar. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research ↗ | 2026-08-12 | 551 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-23: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-24: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-25: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-26: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
FL-27: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
Latest observed polling matchup: Eliott Rodriguez / María Elvira Salazar. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research ↗ | 2026-09-13 | 600 | lv | R +1.1 |
| Bendixen & Amandi International ↗ | 2026-08-30 | 600 | lv | D +0.0 |
FL-28: district evidence
Redrawn for 2026; no comparable district baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
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