Civics & public records
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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Montana House districts
Explore all 2 congressional districts in Montana.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
2 of 2 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MT-01 | D +1.7 | D 58% | 2 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
| MT-02 | R +21.1 | R 98% | 0 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
MT-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +7.9. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Generic Democrat / Generic Republican. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ↗ | 2026-09-10 | 536 | rv | R +4.3 |
| Rutgers-Eagleton ↗ | 2026-09-07 | 375 | rv | R +1.2 |
MT-02: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: R +32.0. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
No qualifying local polls are included in this snapshot. No polling observations are invented.
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
FOLLOW GOVERNMENT IN MONTANA
Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Montana bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news