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Explore Civics ↗2026 U.S. HOUSE
Vermont House districts
Explore all 1 congressional districts in Vermont.
Snapshot: · Model house-0.1.0
1 of 1 districts have comparable two-party baselines. District projections are experimental and uncalibrated. Unmodeled districts are not toss-ups. Full House-control odds are withheld.
| District | Margin | Win probability | Polls | Data basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT-01 | D +43.5 | D >99% | 2 | Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline |
VT-01: district evidence
Comparable 2024 party-vote baseline. Census 120th Congress district layer.
2024 two-party result: D +35.3. This historical result is a baseline, not a current prediction.
Latest observed polling matchup: Becca Balint / Gerald Malloy. This is not an official nominee roster.
| Pollster / source | End date | Sample | Population | Two-party margin (normalized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | 2026-09-21 | 830 | lv | D +37.5 |
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | 2026-07-20 | 949 | lv | D +43.2 |
Sources: House Clerk official 2024 results, Census congressional district data, and NYT polling (CC BY 4.0; independently modified).
Explore the interactive House map ↗ · House methodology and limitations
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Beyond this election
Follow state legislation and the public record alongside these federal election projections.
Vermont bills & legislative records ↗ · Federal civic tools · Policy & Congress news